2024-10

Hey, Ross here! The average bull market runs for five years, and even at the lower end of the range, data shows this one likely has at least another 12 months to go. Ignore the perma-bears warning of an imminent crash—they’ve been wrong before and will be wrong again. The real risk? Missing out on the big opportunities still ahead. Stay focused, stay calm, and keep trading.

Hey, Ross here! The average bull market runs for five years, and even at the lower end of the range, data shows this one likely has at least another 12 months to go. Ignore the perma-bears warning of an imminent crash—they’ve been wrong before and will be wrong again. The real risk? Missing out on the big opportunities still ahead. Stay focused, stay calm, and keep trading.

Hey, Ross here! The average bull market runs for five years, and even at the lower end of the range, data shows this one likely has at least another 12 months to go. Ignore the perma-bears warning of an imminent crash—they’ve been wrong before and will be wrong again. The real risk? Missing out on the big opportunities still ahead. Stay focused, stay calm, and keep trading.

Hey, Ross here! Today's chart shows the US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread, which basically tells us how much extra return investors need to take on riskier junk bonds compared to safe US Treasuries. Right now, the spread is the lowest it’s been all year, meaning risk appetite is actually at its highest. Despite what you may hear, the market is more willing to take on risk than it seems. I break it all down in today’s Insight of the Day.

Hey, Ross here! Today's chart shows the US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread, which basically tells us how much extra return investors need to take on riskier junk bonds compared to safe US Treasuries. Right now, the spread is the lowest it’s been all year, meaning risk appetite is actually at its highest. Despite what you may hear, the market is more willing to take on risk than it seems. I break it all down in today’s Insight of the Day.

Hey, Ross here! Today's chart shows the US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread, which basically tells us how much extra return investors need to take on riskier junk bonds compared to safe US Treasuries. Right now, the spread is the lowest it’s been all year, meaning risk appetite is actually at its highest. Despite what you may hear, the market is more willing to take on risk than it seems. I break it all down in today’s Insight of the Day.

Hey, Ross here! Let's take a look at the performance of all S&P 500 sectors from the start of 2024 through last week. The standout? Utilities, with a 28.5% YTD return. The weakest? Energy, at 9.3% YTD. The gap between them is 19.2%—about the total return of the S&P 500 so far this year. That’s the kind of edge you can find by focusing on the right sectors. I break it down in today's Insight of the Day.

Hey, Ross here! This week's AAII sentiment survey shows a sharp rise in bearish sentiment, with more investors turning cautious as tensions in the Middle East and election concerns grow. While overall sentiment remains strong, the cracks are starting to show. But here's the thing – these rising fears can actually present opportunities. In today's Insight, I explain why this shift might be good news for those paying attention. Don’t miss it!

Hey, Ross here! Today's chart shows the S&P 500’s price target based on the combined one-year target prices of all 500 companies in the index. If each company hits its median target, the S&P 500 would be over 9% higher at 6,288. Interestingly, this method has often underestimated the market’s strength. A similar calculation last year predicted a lower result than what actually happened. This reinforces what I’ve been saying – the bull market still has room to run.

Hey, Ross here! Today's chart shows the S&P 500's aggregate quarterly performance since 1950, with the fourth quarter averaging a 4.3% return – more than double the other quarters. Historically, the index ends higher 80% of the time, just like we saw last year when November and December were the strongest months. So even if October brings some weakness, stay in the game. I explain why below.

Hey, Ross here! This chart might look complicated, but here’s the key takeaway: while the S&P 500 posted a 5.4% return for the third quarter, 328 individual stocks in the index outperformed, averaging a 9.2% return. That means we’re seeing broad participation in this bull market. As I explain below, this could be one of the easiest times to beat the index. Don’t miss your chance.