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Welcome to the Suck

Hey, Ross Givens here! Bearish sentiment just hit an extreme. According to the latest AAII survey, 62% of investors feel bearish—nearly triple the number of bulls. That kind of fear has only shown up twice before: March 2009 and October 1990. The last time it even came close was late September 2022… right before the bull market began. In today’s Insight, I break down what this means—and why extreme pessimism can often be a powerful contrarian signal.

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The Truth Behind Trump’s Tariff Tactics

Hey, Ross Givens here! As I write this, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures are deep in the red—down 3.6% and 3.9%, respectively. They’ve clawed back a bit, but let’s be real… more short-term pain is the most likely scenario. I’d be shocked if markets finish the week higher. The silver lining? The sharper the selloff, the stronger the eventual rebound—especially once Trump’s tariff tactics play out. In today’s Insight, I break down what to expect next and how to stay ahead of the recovery.

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What the 2025 Selloff Actually Reminds Me Of

Hey, Ross Givens here! 2025 feels a lot like 2018—a sharp market pullback fueled by tariff uncertainty, a stubborn Fed, and a media eager to amplify the noise. Back then, the Nasdaq dropped over 20%, only to snap back in a powerful rebound. I see the same setup playing out now. We’re in a correction, not a crisis, and these moments often present some of the best opportunities. When the recovery starts, it’ll be fast—leaving most traders scrambling. In today’s Insight, I break down how to position yourself before that happens.

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Proof that Traders are Overreacting

Hey, Ross Givens here! Bearish sentiment just hit extreme levels—higher than during the Covid Crash and the Global Financial Crisis. Yet, the S&P 500 is down less than 10%, and the Nasdaq less than 15%. This isn’t a full-blown meltdown, but you wouldn’t know it from investor reactions. Yes, the market looks rough, and a quick recovery isn’t likely. But when it does turn, most traders will be caught off guard. These tariff threats? Likely just a negotiation tactic. I break down how to navigate this market while staying positioned for the rebound in today’s Insight.

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Smart Moves in an Ugly Market

Hey, Ross Givens here! There’s a massive pile of cash sitting in money market funds—waiting for the right moment to move. Even if a small portion of that capital flows into stocks, it could ignite a strong rally. The market looks rough right now, so I’m not expecting an immediate turnaround. But when it happens, it’ll likely be faster than most expect. The key question is: what should we be doing in the meantime? I break it down in today’s Insight.

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Contrarian Buying Signal

Hey, Ross Givens here! Today's chart breaks down the year-to-date performance of the S&P 500’s sectors—and despite recent volatility, the majority are still in the green. Out of 11 sectors, 9 remain positive, proving that strength still exists beneath the surface. Watching the indexes is important, but if that’s all you focus on, you’ll miss the real opportunities. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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The Truth About 2025 Sector Performance

Hey, Ross Givens here! Today's chart breaks down the year-to-date performance of the S&P 500’s sectors—and despite recent volatility, the majority are still in the green. Out of 11 sectors, 9 remain positive, proving that strength still exists beneath the surface. Watching the indexes is important, but if that’s all you focus on, you’ll miss the real opportunities. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Stocks Moving Out of Correction Territory

Hey, Ross Givens here! History shows that when the S&P 500 enters correction territory but avoids a full-blown bear market, returns tend to be positive in the months that follow. In fact, every single time this has happened, the market was higher 6 and 12 months later. Nothing is guaranteed, but with indexes already rebounding, the odds are in our favor. The biggest opportunities come at the start of a recovery—but only if you play it right. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Should You Target These Sectors?

Hey, Ross Givens here! Analysts are showing their cards for Q2, and Energy is getting the most love, while Consumer Staples lags behind. I don’t blindly follow Wall Street ratings, but they do offer insight into market sentiment. More importantly, there’s a group of people whose opinions carry real weight—far more than analysts. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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A “Narrow Recovery” in the Cards?

Hey, Ross Givens here! Friday’s market gains might look bullish on the surface, but beneath it, market breadth tells a different story. Short-, medium-, and long-term indicators all weakened, with fewer stocks trading above key moving averages. When breadth deteriorates while indexes rise, it’s a red flag. What does this mean for the next move? I break it all down in today's Insight.

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Who’s Buying the Dip? (Pay Attention)

Hey, Ross Givens here! Corporate insiders—executives and board members—are legally allowed to trade their own stock, and right now, they’re buying more than usual. While insiders typically sell more than they buy, spikes in the buy/sell ratio have historically signaled market bottoms or consolidation periods before a rally. I break down what this latest move means—and why it could be an opportunity—below.

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Fed Day Breadth Surge

Hey, Ross Givens here! The S&P 500 just posted its best Fed Day since July 2024, climbing 1.08% and fueling the breadth surge that kicked off last Friday. With 41% of stocks now above their 200-day moving average, momentum is building—but there’s still work to be done. Volatility isn’t going away, but the signs are pointing in the right direction. I break it all down in today's Insight.

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